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Week 10: Stage 4 Overview: Prediction, Design, and the Crispness Deep-Dive

How Stage 4 turns Stage 3's models into predictions and then a design tool, with a full lecture on crispness as a metastable material state.

3 May 2027

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measured input →predicted output →residualfitted model
Diagram — fitting a predictive modelA model is only as good as its residuals. Fitting a curve through measured points is the easy part — what the gap between curve and point looks like is where a model earns trust.

Outline

Teaching team