Cost drag

Week 2

Nothing happened last week

And you are already down

The quote had two prices

You saw one number. There were two.

bid — someone will buy from you

ask — someone will sell to you

The ask is higher.

Say the quote was

$39.96  bid
$40.00  ask

You paid the ask.

Change your mind one second later and you receive the bid.

So at the instant you bought

$40.00 − $39.96  =  $0.04

$0.04 / $40.00   =  0.10%

No news. Nobody was wrong about anything.

Then the platform charges you

$5 in  +  $5 out   =  $10

$10 / $10,000      =  0.10%

One round trip

0.10%  +  0.10%  =  0.20%

$20 on $10,000.

In and out. No opinion about the market.

We just did this

Whole room, fifty minutes, open and close.

Check your account.

Twenty dollars is not interesting

What makes it week 2 is that it recurs.

And recurring costs compound against you

exactly the way returns compound for you.

Leave it alone for forty years

Total drag 1% per year:

0.99^40  =  0.669

66.9%

A third of it is gone.

Not to a crash

Not to a bad decision.

Not to anything that appeared in a newspaper.

To a number so small it is usually quoted as reassurance.

Now use your own number

Four round trips a year, at the 0.20% we measured:

4 × 0.20%   =  0.80% per year

0.992^40    =  0.725

You keep 72.5%.

Four trades a year is not active

Most of this room will do four in March.

The only loss you are certain to realise

Which is also why it is the thinnest thing

you can write the assignment about.