Cost drag#
Week 2
Nothing happened last week#
And you are already down#
The quote had two prices#
You saw one number. There were two.
bid — someone will buy from you
ask — someone will sell to you
The ask is higher.
Say the quote was#
$39.96 bid
$40.00 askYou paid the ask.
Change your mind one second later and you receive the bid.
So at the instant you bought#
$40.00 − $39.96 = $0.04
$0.04 / $40.00 = 0.10%No news. Nobody was wrong about anything.
Then the platform charges you#
$5 in + $5 out = $10
$10 / $10,000 = 0.10%One round trip#
0.10% + 0.10% = 0.20%$20 on $10,000.
In and out. No opinion about the market.
We just did this#
Whole room, fifty minutes, open and close.
Check your account.
Twenty dollars is not interesting#
What makes it week 2 is that it recurs.
And recurring costs compound against you
exactly the way returns compound for you.
Leave it alone for forty years#
Total drag 1% per year:
0.99^40 = 0.66966.9%#
A third of it is gone.
Not to a crash#
Not to a bad decision.
Not to anything that appeared in a newspaper.
To a number so small it is usually quoted as reassurance.
Now use your own number#
Four round trips a year, at the 0.20% we measured:
4 × 0.20% = 0.80% per year
0.992^40 = 0.725You keep 72.5%.
Four trades a year is not active#
Most of this room will do four in March.
The only loss you are certain to realise#
Which is also why it is the thinnest thing
you can write the assignment about.