Week 3 Problem Session: Pot odds practice

The third Problem Session — rebuilding the deck's flagship hand from scratch, from outs count through to a call-or-fold verdict in dollars

8 March 2027

Before the session#

Watch the deck once through. Don’t try to memorize the flagship hand’s numbers — the session rebuilds them from the board up.

In the session#

The group re-derives the flagship hand’s outs count, exact equity, pot-odds threshold, and EV(call) from scratch, checking each step against the deck’s stated answer before moving to the next. Then the same four-step process (outs → equity → threshold → EV) gets pointed at a second hand nobody has seen before, with a different draw type and different bet sizing, to check the method generalizes rather than having been memorized for one board.

The card-removal miscount from the deck gets its own few minutes: everyone tries the naive 13-minus-board-spades count first, on purpose, before being shown why it overshoots.

Afterwards#

Nothing is marked this week. What should be settled going into week 4: the four-step decision process, and comfort with the exact hypergeometric formula behind step two.