Density and the 15-Minute City

SLOP2418 — Urban Design Studio
Week 4 · Marisol Quaye · 15 March 2027

direct readout · derived measure · worked hypothetical

Where we are

  • Week 1: the site read before a road went down. Three metrics named — fiscal performance, mobility performance, livability.
  • Week 2: the block pattern, and what a grid does to a pathfinder.
  • Week 3: separation of uses, and the commute it buys you.
  • Week 4: the radius. How far a resident will walk, and what therefore has to be inside the circle.

The argument

A 15-minute city is a claim about a time budget and a balance sheet, not a claim about a distance.

Perry, 1929

Perry's neighbourhood unitschool¼-mile radiusarterials carry traffic around

Perry’s radius is geometric. The studio must turn it into elapsed time.

What Perry fixed and what he built in

Fixed:

  • Through traffic on the boundary, not the interior.
  • A daily destination at the centre, within a child’s walk.
  • Retail at the corners, shared between cells, so it has two catchments. Built in:
  • A cell defined by a school catchment is a cell defined by who is admitted to the school.
  • Interior streets that discourage through movement also discourage through movement by bus.
  • The unit is sized for a population it assumes will not change.

Moreno, 2021: the radius becomes a budget

  • Six functions must be reachable: living, working, supply, care, learning, enjoyment.
  • Reachable means fifteen minutes on foot or by bicycle, not fifteen minutes by car.
  • Four dimensions carry it: proximity, diversity, density, ubiquity.
  • Ubiquity is the one students drop: the model has to hold for every part of the district, not for the part with the good park.

Jacobs on concentration

There must be a sufficiently dense concentration of people, for whatever purposes they may be there.

— Jane Jacobs, The Death and Life of Great American Cities (1961), the fourth condition for city diversity

Density is a precondition, not a goal

  • A corner shop needs a catchment. Below roughly 4,000 residents inside a 600 m walk, the tenancy on Pelling Street cycles: occupied, struggling, abandoned, occupied.
  • You will read this in the model as commercial demand that never clears and buildings that will not hold their level.
  • The fix is not another commercial zone. The fix is more people inside the same radius.
  • Density added beyond the threshold buys you variety of tenancy, not survival of tenancy. Those are different design problems.

Marchetti’s hour

SettlementTypical daily travelTime spent
Walking village, historic5 km on foot~1 hour
Streetcar district12 km, tram and foot~1 hour
Car-based suburb45 km, car~1 hour

The hour does not move. Only the radius does.

The amenity radius, measured

Walk speed 4.8 km/h, that is 80 metres per minute.

AmenityPerry’s placementDistance from cell centreMinutes on footInside the 15-minute circle
Playgroundinterior, distributed300 m4yes
Elementary schoolcentre0–400 m0–5yes
Grocerycorner, shared500 m6yes
Clinicshared between cells900 m11yes, barely
Secondary schoolone per four to six cells1,600 m20no
Hospitaldistrict-wide3,200 m40no — cycle or transit

The circle over Halstead Reach

Amenity catchment over Halstead Reachclinic15-minute walkPelling StreetKerrow corridor

A walking catchment and a service-coverage overlay answer different questions.

What the circle costs

Table of the Halstead Reach cell at Perry’s dimensions — 0.65 km², approximately 5,000 residents.

Facility inside the cellMonthly upkeepCell’s share
Elementary school3,2003,200
Clinic2,4002,400
Three small parks900900
Fire station (shared, three cells)1,900633
Total7,133

Residential rate take at the default rate, 5,000 residents: ≈ 5,800 / month. Monthly shortfall: ≈ 1,300.

Two ways to close 1,300

MoveFiscal effectLivability effect
Upzone Pelling Street frontage to mixed housing: +1,400 residents+1,600 / month; closes the gapSchool reaches capacity; the playground catchment thins; the 400 m circle now serves 6,400 people
Move the clinic to a catchment shared by three cellsCell’s share falls 2,400 → 800; closes the gapThe eleven-minute walk becomes a twenty-four-minute walk, or a trip by car

The tradeoff of the week

Livability against fiscal performance.

The clinic inside the circle is a service the cell cannot yet fund. The clinic outside the circle is a balance sheet that works and a walk that does not.

Assessment 1: the brief

  • Neighbourhood Unit Plan. One residential cell in Halstead Reach at Perry’s dimensions, designed to Moreno’s proximity standard, sited on the studio’s shared save.
  • Weight: 25% of the studio.
  • Submission: a set of in-simulation screenshots, plus a defence memo of no more than 800 words. Lodged today at 12:00 and defended at the jury at 14:00.
  • Required in the screenshot set: the Land Value info view over the cell; the coverage radius of every service building you sited; the traffic volume layer showing the Kerrow corridor on the boundary.

Marking table:

CriterionWeight
Fiscal performance30
Mobility performance30
Livability40

What the jury will ask

  • The jury is chaired by Marisol Quaye. Sunniva Marek, principal at Kesselring & Marek, sits on it as guest juror.
  • The first question is always the same: which two of the three metrics did you trade against each other, and where in the plan is that decision visible.
  • Expect to be asked what the cell costs per month and what it returns. Have the number.
  • Expect to be asked who the school catchment excludes. Perry’s diagram does not answer this and neither will yours unless you make it.
  • Sunniva Marek marks from practice and will ask what happens to the plan in year ten, when the cell’s population has changed and the school has not.