Chain of Custody

Week 1 — The forensic turn

The world is awash in slop.

A short lineage

  • 2005 — Harry Frankfurt, On Bullshit: a liar cares what’s true; a bullshitter doesn’t
  • 2020 — Bergstrom & West build a course, then a book, out of that essay
  • 2023 — a Princeton computer scientist calls a chatbot “a bullshit generator” and means it precisely
  • now — the bullshit is manufactured at machine scale, by systems with no stake in the truth at all

What actually changed

  • scale — one person, then; a data centre, now
  • confidence — slop arrives looking exactly as polished as the real thing
  • intent — nobody upstream necessarily meant to deceive anyone

None of that makes it less of a problem. It makes it a different one.

A liar knows the truth and hides it. Neither the model nor most of what it generates knows or cares what the truth is at all — that’s the harder case.

The scale, in numbers

  • AI-generated content detected online is estimated to have grown 550% since 2023
  • Google’s own research suggested up to 40% of web content could be AI-generated by the end of 2025

Neither number needs to be exact to make the point: this is not a niche problem anymore.

The forensic stance

  • evidence over instinct
  • more than one method, checked against each other
  • a stated confidence level, never louder than the evidence earns
  • a chain of custody: who made this, and what happened to it since

Twelve weeks, one case at a time

WeeksFocus
2–3verification method, textual tells
4–6image, video, watermarking
7provenance and C2PA
8why detectors fail
9–11workslop, policy, the ethics of accusation
12your own case

Further reading

Calling Bullshit — the course and book this one answers

Bring one suspect. No proof required yet.